The world of cycling is abuzz with anticipation as we approach the highly anticipated Milan-San Remo race, often referred to as La Classicissima. But before the main event, two key stage races, Tirreno-Adriatico and Paris-Nice, have offered us a glimpse into the strategies and forms of the top contenders. Personally, I find this period fascinating, as it's a unique opportunity to analyze the behind-the-scenes preparations and make predictions for the upcoming classics.
One of the most intriguing aspects is the contrast between these two races. While Tirreno-Adriatico, held in Italy, provides a more relaxed environment with better weather conditions, Paris-Nice faces the challenge of unpredictable weather, which can be a deal-breaker for classics riders. This year, Paris-Nice suffered from disastrous weather, further emphasizing the importance of Tirreno-Adriatico as the preferred choice for peak form.
Tadej Pogačar, a favorite for Milan-San Remo, opted for a unique approach, staying at home and following a personalized plan. Meanwhile, Mathieu van der Poel, another top contender, chose to ride Tirreno-Adriatico, a decision that seemed to pay off. His outstanding performance, earning him an impressive 11 out of 10 rating, suggests he's in top form and ready to challenge for the Monuments.
The race dynamics at Tirreno-Adriatico were particularly interesting. Van der Poel dominated with two victories, showcasing his ability to attack and sprint. His relaxed demeanor and strategic approach to each stage indicate a well-thought-out training plan. On the other hand, Pogačar, watching from afar, must be taking note and strategizing his own approach for the upcoming showdown.
The UAE Team Emirates, Pogačar's squad, faces a selection dilemma for Milan-San Remo. Isaac del Toro, the overall winner of Tirreno-Adriatico, will need to transition from his own success to supporting Pogačar, a challenging role that requires both physical ability and mental fortitude. The team's lineup is still unconfirmed due to injuries and fatigue, leaving key decisions to the sports management.
Looking ahead to Milan-San Remo, I expect a more open race compared to last year. The potential for rain and a tailwind adds an element of unpredictability. Wout van Aert, in top form, could join the battle on the Cipressa, and riders like Matteo Jorgenson and Christophe Laporte could play crucial roles. The Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe team, led by Giulio Pellizzari, could also be a dark horse, especially if the race becomes fragmented on the Cipressa.
Paris-Nice, once a popular choice for peaking, has taken a backseat for many riders. The last two winners of Milan-San Remo, Jasper Stuyven and Matej Mohorič, did not use Paris-Nice as their primary preparation race. Instead, the focus remains on Tirreno-Adriatico, with its ideal weather, fast racing, and automatic adaptation to Italian road conditions.
As we count down the days to the first Monument of 2026, the stage is set for an exciting battle. Van der Poel, with his impressive form, will be a force to reckon with. Pogačar, always a favorite, will need to navigate the challenges of his team's selection and strategy. And with potential surprises from riders like Jorgenson and Pellizzari, the race promises to be a thrilling spectacle. Stay tuned, as the classics season is about to deliver some unforgettable moments!
